Can Sigmundsdottir Take Toomey this Weekend

If history predicts the future, then five-time CrossFit Games athlete Sara Sigmundsdottir has a great chance of dethroning the most dominant woman in CrossFit Games history, Tia Clair-Toomey, in stage one of the CrossFit Games.

The rationale: Toomey’s (arguably) biggest weakness might just be Sigmundsdottir’s biggest strength: online competitions.

The evidence: Sigmundsdottir has topped the worldwide leaderboard in the online CrossFit Games Open three of the last four years, while Toomey’s Open finishes tend to be uncharacteristically low for the three-time Crossfit Games champion. Toomey finished fourth in the Open this season, sixth in 2019, 12th in 2018 and 18th in 2017.

One big thing: Although Sigmundsdottir has notoriously underperformed at the Games — be it due to injuries or mental game shortcomings — if this season is any indication, her in-person competition deficiencies might be a thing of the past, which bodes well should she qualify for the Finals.

• The 28-year-old Sigmundsdottir won the first two Sanctionals of the 2020 season, topping the CrossFit Filthy 150 in Dublin, Ireland in November, and then turning around two weeks later and dominating the Dubai CrossFit Championship in the UAE.

Not so fast: Before you Sigmundsdottir fans get too excited, it’s worth noting that other than her fourth place finish in the Open, Toomey has had an undefeated season.  She won the Mayhem Classic by 100 points in January, Wodapalooza in February, and the online Rogue Invitational in June.

Head-to-head: Sigmundsdottir and Toomey have had the chance to go head-to-head twice since the 2020 Open.

• The Wodapalooza  result: Toomey first, Sigmundsdottir second, 38 points behind Toomey.
• The Rogue Invitational result: Toomey first, Sigmundsdottir second, 75 points behind Toomey.

The big picture: Toomey still has to be considered the undeniable favorite to win stage one of this year’s online Games, but there’s a good chance Sigmundsdottir will be at least one of the women knocking on the door to take down the champion.